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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (37454)8/25/2003 4:26:26 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
Hi Jay - Sold a little ABX (Barrick Gold, the black sheep of the gold business ;-)) today, after watching the gain erode also.

I'm planning on trimming some more this week, as we may drift down until early September - lots of Wall Street on vacation.

I can't get a very good read on natural gas, it maybe near fairly priced right now.

A number of statistics have come in much better than expected - existing home sales, before that the Philly FE manufacturign numbers. Inventories are still lower than normal, so a business pick up will creat a good deal of short term demand for both end use and to fill the pipeline.

I expect we may get a very strong increase in the economy for one or two months - this could run up raw material prices....
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