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Technology Stocks : Western Digital (WDC)
WDC 221.57-0.2%3:59 PM EST

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To: Sam Citron who wrote (10713)8/26/2003 1:25:25 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Read Replies (1) of 11057
 
>> Can commodity margins generate enough profits to pay for this research?

The commodity margins are the result of companies like IBM willing to endure years (and $billions) in losses to try to stay in the business. When IBM threw in the towel, WD's cash profits went up from zero to $300m/year.

A year ago, Hitachi took up the torch of losing $100's of millions per year to make desk-top drives. Last year it was $400m. They may also decide that it isn't their strong suit, and exit the business, like Fugitsu and MKE did a couple years ago. I think then WD's profits will go to $400m/year.

A disk drive is not at all a commodity. Neither in its design, nor in its manufacturing. The margins have been low because giant companies were willing to bleed in order to have a chance at monopolizing the business. Their blood is running dry about right now.
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