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Biotech / Medical : MYGN
MYGN 6.295-3.0%3:59 PM EST

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To: A.J. Mullen who wrote (23)8/28/2003 3:11:50 PM
From: A.J. Mullen   of 29
 
There have been downgrades from CSFB and Bear Stearns based primarily on the reduced growth of Predictive Medicine in the Q4 '03. That might have been a result of the winding down of their direct-to-consumer advertising; ie previous quarters must have been boosted by that. The expense of the tests ($ 000s per test) and their nature (long-term risk assessment) probably means that the uptake will be more dependent on the economy than most medicine. Year on year the growth rate of 29% for predictive medicine still seems respectable. In the conference call they were asked how the Lab Corps deal was progressing, they answered they expected a slow ramp-up.

They seemed excited about the potential Alzheimer's drug, but warned not to expect results anytime soon. Likewise, no great announcement likely imminent for the other compounds. This too, seems to have figured in the downgrades.

On the otherhand NIH is running studies to incorporate predictive medicine into care. This seems important. It doesn't help to know what may kill you unless it makes you more vigilant and early intervention helps Better still if it suggests a prophylactive treatment such as Tamoxifen.

Ashley
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