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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: gumnam who wrote (37682)9/1/2003 11:12:05 PM
From: rolatzi  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
If there is a big drop in the US stock market it is better to be in metals and energy directly and not through shares of miners and producers. I am a bit wary of gold miners because the share price has gotten ahead of the price of gold. Each time the stock market has had a big drop from 1987 onward, gold miners have declined more or less proportionately to the stock averages. On the other hand, September is the best month for increases in the price of gold and many say that gold mining stocks lead the price of gold. I don't trade commodities (and I assume many here don't as well) so I am thinking of one of the FCX pfd shares which are proxies for the price of gold and should not have the volatility of gold miners. I don't know if there is a comparable for oil and natural gas but I suspect that oil and gas prices will hold up much better in a market correction than the producing, exploration and service companies.

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