Bush 48% Hillary 41%
Election 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush 45%
Kerry 36%
Other 9%
Not Sure 10%
RasmussenReports.com
Election 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush 45%
Dean 34%
Other 9%
Not Sure 11%
RasmussenReports.com
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Election 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush 48%
Clinton 41%
Other 7%
Not Sure 5%
RasmussenReports.com
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Election 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush 42%
Democrat 42%
Other 6%
Not Sure 10%
RasmussenReports.com
September 2, 2003--As a Presidential candidate, Senator Hillary Clinton attracts more Democratic votes than other contenders but still trails President Bush 48% to 41%.
If the Democrats nominate Senator John Kerry, the President leads 45% to 36%. Against Vermont Governor Howard Dean, Bush leads 45% to 34%.
The national telephone survey of 1,499 Likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 29-September 1, 2003. Margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Senator Clinton would reinforce the divide between Investor and non-Investors that has been growing in recent years. America's Investor Class would vote for Bush over Clinton by a 53% to 35% margin. Non-Investors prefer Clinton 46% to 42%. That represents a net swing of 22 percentage points (from Bush +18 to Bush -4).
While the Investor Class gap is larger for Senator Clinton, it exists for all Democratic candidates. Bush leads Dean 51% to 33% among Investors and 40% to 35% among non-Investors. Bush leads Kerry 50% to 33% among Investors and 40% to 39% among non-Investors.
Just under half of all Americans belong to the Investor Class. Investors are more likely than others to vote, so they make up nearly 60% of the voting public.
While Bush leads individual Democrats, his overall poll numbers have slipped. Against a generic Democrat, the President is now tied, 42% to 42%. A month ago, the President led 44% to 41% against a generic Democrat.
The discrepancy between polls comparing Bush to a generic Democrat and those suggesting a specific alternative is the result of several factors.
First, the generic ballot enables Democrats to envision their ideal candidate as the President's opponent. This tends to inflate the Democratic vote.
Second, the name recognition for individual Democratic candidates (other than Hillary Clinton) is very low. This tends to decrease the Democratic vote.
Third, the war issue is still dividing the Democrats.
The President has lost ground compared to Kerry and Dean since the end of July.
The margin of sampling error for the survey was +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Methodology
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