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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (114613)	9/13/2003 5:43:51 AM
From: Noel de Leon	Read Replies (1) of 281500

"It'll be a secret test, as a failed pre-announced test would be a big "loss of face", and an invitation for the U.S. to invade quickly (in the window of opportunity before a successful test)." A failed test is highly unlikely, a primitive device is all it takes. Nothing I've read has indicated that there were failed tests in the Manhattan project although I could be mistaken. Besides which my experience with South Korean physics students(PhD candidates) says that the brain power is there and may well be in North Korea. Invitations could be sent out 24-48 hours before the test. The point is that a credible WMD threat is all that keeps Bush from attacking. The Iraq case is still operative, disarm them and then attack. The Pakistan case is also operative, Pakistan has nuclear WMDs, but is not a member of the "Axis of Evil"(yet) nor were they prevented from getting them by previous administrations(Reagan, Bush I, Clinton). More over I doubt that the US has enough conventional ground and air forces to prevent a destruction of South Korea by conventional North Korean forces. One can ask why did US administrations "let" Pakistan and India, among others, develop nuclear WMDs?

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