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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: JohnM who wrote (114814)	9/14/2003 7:48:48 PM
From: epicure	Read Replies (1) of 281500

Iraq might be able to avoid a civil war if they unite against the US- which might not be good for the US, but might be better for Iraq. Partition, at least if one takes India as an example, can be truly horrible. I would rather see Iraq united against us, then to see Iraq sucked in to partition. Unfortunately, I think to avoid partition they will have to have a very strong central government, repressive even- which won't be good for "freedom and democracy" but the chances of that in Iraq were never very good (like near 0), imo. Can't remember who said this: that the model for government in the ME was a strong dictator, an impotent parliament (or analogous organ), and a vicious and effective police force. I'd say that is what we will get in Iraq if we are lucky.

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