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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 692.73+0.5%Jan 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: Rock_nj who wrote (83938)9/17/2003 11:55:40 PM
From: Psycho-Social  Read Replies (3) of 99985
 
Terrorist Attacks:
It's likely that the terrorist leaders and their sympathizers in the Arab and Islamic hate Bush & Co as much as any U.S. President has been hated in a long time. If one attempts to "get inside the head" of the terrorist leaders, one would expect that their organized terror events would be timed to cause maximum damage to the Bush Administration's re-election chances. Depending on how you analyze things, that would either be 3-6 months before the election, for maximum economic impact, or in the days/weeks before the '04 election, for maximum shock value. That's how I see it.

In the months ahead, the "quiet guerilla war" against the oil infrastructure in Iraq will probably continue. The objective there, in addition to depriving the U.S. of cheap oil, is to prevent from pulling out most U.S. forces from Iraq before the election and thereby demonstrating his clear victory to the American electorate.
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