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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: FaultLine who started this subject9/18/2003 11:50:47 PM
From: Bilow   of 281500
 
Hi all; Fighting up 41% in September over August in Iraq:

Lying Bastards
Soldiers for the Truth,
This was in CNN today:

Vice President Dick Cheney said Sunday that continuing violence against U.S.-led forces in Iraq is diminishing, and that most Iraqis welcome the occupation. "The actual number of incidents this month is significantly below what it was last month, on a daily basis," Cheney told NBC's "Meet the Press." Most of Iraq "is relatively stable and quiet," he said.

cnn.com

This from the same people who said that al-qaeda were running rampant with WMD in Iraq while Saddam shredded the blueprints for 9/11. Below are excerpts from intel summaries I wrote for the 13th and the 14th of this month. The raw data on incidents is taken from military reporting, CJTF-7 to be specific. It would seem that the vice president does not have access to this unclassified reporting. Makes me wonder if he really gives a damn about the men and women dying over here while Halliburton makes millions.

Assessment:

Through the first twelve days of September, there have been 246 incidents; there were 181 for the same time period in August. This represents a 36% increase in activity levels. If activity numbers continue at current rates, based on August patterns, it is assessed that there will be between 615-668 incidents in September. However, this does not take changing climatological conditions (rain/temperature) into account or operational impacts due to changes in hours of daylight.

Assessment:

Through the first Thirteen days of September, there have been 93 incidents involving IEDs; there were 66 for the same time period in August. This represents a 41% increase in IED use. If activity numbers continue at current rates, based on August patterns, it is assessed that there will be between 255-275 IED incidents in September- or approximately 38-41% of all incidents. However, this does not take changing climatological conditions (rain/temperature) into account or operational impacts due to changes in hours of daylight.

Now I'm no rocket scientist, but last time I checked, 36 and 41 percent increases are not actually "significantly lower" than anything, although maybe Stephen Hawking would say differently.

Cheers,

A CONCERNED OFFICER
sftt.org

-- Carl

P.S. This led me to look for the source data, which I've not yet found. But I have found two useful links that those who would like to know what is going on in Iraq will add to their favorites:

The official website of the Coalitional Provisional Authority:
cpa-iraq.org

US Army CJTF7 (Coalition Joint Task Force 7) official US Army website:
vcorps.army.mil
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