Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (38459)	9/19/2003 6:50:22 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) of 74559

Real Rates and Gold, part #5 (by Adam Hamilton of Zeal) 321gold.com real rates are persistently negative lately too bad govt statrats dont properly calculate the CPI or else reality would show even more negative real rate I guess the USGovt's version is the "unreal rate" Gold will be topping #400 in a matter of a few weeks the JYen hit 88 today, above critical resist at 87 just a thought, JayMan if the JYen zips & zooms toward parity, will that not put extreme pressure on China to revalue their peg ? with RMB fixed versus the USDollar, and a JYen gaining strength, we could have some severe disruption across Asia if no peg change, then China will realize an even bigger trade advantage against Japan make sense? to what extent do China and Japan compete head to head? a token few pct by China would call off the US dogs but would it help when the JYen jumps 15% or more? the key is the amount that JYen moves appreciate your thoughts / jim

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