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To: russwinter who wrote (25960)	9/27/2003 8:37:07 AM
From: tom pope	Read Replies (1) of 206193

This from a weather service that came packaged with my latest machine. FWIW. Factors besides El Nino also played a large role last winter. A moderate El Nino was present during fall 2002, but it became weaker as winter 2002-03 progressed. Early snow cover over eastern Canada and the northeast U.S. as well as very warm water temperatures between Greenland and eastern Canada encouraged a large blocking high pressure to develop at high latitudes, forcing cold air masses into the heart of the eastern U.S. Similar conditions will develop next week, allowing a potentially record-breaking cold air mass to plunge toward the Midwest and northeast. If this pattern continues into October it could signal an early winter. There are signals in the overall pattern this fall that favor cold air to cover a wider area than last year with the bone-chilling air masses most frequently plunging into the Rockies and Plains. Last year`s cold focused in the northeast.

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