<it is the one (tribe) with the sharp pointy sticks that will win, they always do.>
Japanese, French, Americans in Vietnam? Soviets in Afghanistan? French in Algeria? All the colonial powers in Africa before 1960? British in India? Portugese in Angola and Mozambique? Boers against the Blacks? Chinese Communists against the Nationalists and Japanese? Always?
There are too many counter-examples, in recent history, of nations losing wars, although they had immense technological superiority (the pointiest sticks).
There are also numerous historical examples, of nations who are outnumbered, 2 to 1, 10 to 1, and still win.
In the 21st Century, as in the 20th, there will be little correlation between size of armies or technological level, and winning.
The key is Will. Specifically, willingness to suffer for your cause. Any people, no matter how backward, no matter how few, will win their wars, if they are all willing to die for their cause.
Which is why Israel will never conquer Palestine, and India will never conquer Kashmir, and Russia will never conquer Chechnya, by any method short of ethnic cleansing.
On current evidence, Americans are far less willing to die, than our enemies. |