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Gold/Mining/Energy : Nuvo Research Inc

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To: gg cox who wrote (12980)10/6/2003 2:43:09 AM
From: Cal Gary  Read Replies (2) of 14101
 
Thanks gg cox

I wonder how many OA sufferers there are in the 300,000 that read the magazine.

"Quick Facts
How common is osteoarthritis?
It affects 3,000,000 (1 in 10) Canadians.
It affects men and women in equal numbers.
Most people develop osteoarthritis after the age of 45, but it can occur at any age."
arthritis.ca

2 scenarios:

(1) We know 10% of population suffers from OA.
So statistically, about 30,000 of CARP subscribers suffer OA @ near 100% certainty. Call this the low water mark. This is equivalent to about 1% of 3mm Canadian arthritis suffers.

(2) We know 10%-12% of our population is "senior" depending what age is used to define what a senior is. Define age 65+ is senior and life expectancy of 80. Then age 50 to 80 is 30 years with 65 as a mid point. Assuming a straight line distribution of ages for subscribers, then 1/2 are seniors or 150,000 subscribers. We know that a large majority of seniors suffer OA. I'll make a wild guess of 92%, so 138K subscribers. If the statement "most people age 45" is essentially useful, then I'll make another guess that 51% of subscribers between age 50-65 suffers OA.

Drum roll...ta da
On the high end 214,500 subscribers suffer OA. Equivalent to 7% of estimate 3mm Canadian OA suffers!

Anyways, I agree with you, a most timely article. Do you have a way to link the actual contents of page 10?

Good evening.

Yukkety yak yak.
Sorry, must be a full moon tonight.
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