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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: mishedlo who wrote (1429)10/12/2003 9:28:20 AM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (3) of 110194
 
<we fell all thru 001 and much of 2002 with it rising.>

I've discussed and posted on this several times a month ago (and since) and really don't wish to keep repeating myself again. However, if you go back you should find those details, charts, etc. Here's the abbreviated version: it's rate of change that matters, not just if it "rises". Go back and look at yoy (or six month rate of change) in the period since 99, and you will see a marked monetary slowdown after Y2K, that topped out the market. You will then see a marked pickup after 911 that rallied the market, and another slowdown in mid-02 that crapped out the market again. There's a strong correlation here.
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