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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 299.67+1.5%Nov 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: StanX Long who wrote (12079)10/16/2003 2:38:09 AM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (2) of 95409
 
AMAT looks OK, but many of other leading stocks didn't fare so well today. IBD and other news sources have varying degrees of concern about the market today - could be a key reversal day to the downside - time will tell and tomorrow should be a very interesting day.

The following is from Briefing.com - after hours report:

<<Wednesday After Hours price levels vs. 4pm ET: Buyers have not found a ton to get excited about with a handful of top-line misses weighing heavily on the after hours trade. Presently, the S&P futures, at 1043, are 3 points below fair value, and the Nasdaq 100 futures, at 1412, are 8 points below fair value. Tech giant IBM (IBM 89.80 -2.94) set the tone for the night with its Q3 (Sept) report that was short of the revenue consensus estimate.

Specifically, the Dow component's net sales increased 9% from the year-ago period, to $21.52 bln versus the $21.85 bln Reuters Research estimate. A 17% increase in global services sales, to $10.4 bln (including the addition of the former PwC Consulting business) provided the large bulk of the revenue growth. As for EPS, that inched 3% higher, to $1.02, which was in line with the consensus expectation.

Software company Siebel Systems (SEBL 12.00 -0.43) committed a similar offense by coming up shy of the revised Q3 (Sept) consensus revenue estimate. After preannouncing lower than expected sales on October 2, management reported a 10% fall to $321.4 mln (consensus of $323.2 mln) that was, actually, in line with its original forecast of $320-322 mln. License revenues, separately, were $110 mln and also within the range provided by management. Siebel also announced that it would be acquiring UpShot Corp, a pioneer in delivering hosted CRM service over the Internet, in a cash transaction valued at up to $70 mln.

Storage company QLogic (QLGC 51.45 -0.03) did beat the top and bottom-line consensus estimates, but even its stock has not received a bid from investors. Q2 (Sept) net income and revenues rose to record levels, with EPS checking in at $0.37 and revenues coming in at $132.3 mln. The company attributed the 24% increase in sales to a significant increase in sales of its Fibre Channel products. Competitors of QLGC include the likes of BRCD, ELX, and MCDT.

Shares of Apple Computer (AAPL 23.92 -0.90) have also found themselves the targets of profit-taking following the company's better than expected Q4 (Sept) report. Apple reported net income of $0.08 per share, which was a penny better than the consensus forecast, and revenues that rose 19% to $1.72 bln. Management also said that it saw Q1 (Dec) revenues of $1.9 bln (consensus of $1.79 bln) and Q1 GAAP EPS slightly up from Q4 GAAP EPS, which were $0.12. As this metric was given on a GAAP (and not pro forma) basis, it is unclear if it is comparable to the consensus estimate of $0.13.

Finally, Lam Research (LRCX 26.41 -1.23) stock has tumbled nearly 5% in the extended session following the semiconductor company's Q1 (Sept) revenue miss. Specifically, revenues fell 1% to $183.7 mln as compared to the $187.4 mln consensus. Management stipulated, though, that new orders of approximately $211 mln in Q4 (June) represented 10% sequential growth, showing that 'there are early signs that demand for wafer processing equipment is improving.'>>

Also, as this note is written, the futures are in negative territory.

cme.com

Don
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