Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: Tim Bagwell who wrote (19603)	10/17/2003 1:43:06 PM
From: rsie	Read Replies (1) of 42834

thanks for your opinion... I am in 90%.....I have purchased SPY, QQQ, and other ETF's to spread out my risk....I am learning more about bonds so that I can maybe make a play with bonds when the time comes....I plan to sell most of my holdings when Bob says sell....and stay away for a long time until similiar circumstances occur(similiar to the most recent Lows in the market). I did not buy any single stocks this time around since I believe we are in a "second bubble" and it is only because the fed reserve has to increase liquidity-because they have no other alternative...at the moment...the scenario of boom-bust is reasonable for the next MANY years.....so risk aversion is paramount...I sense many people are starting to get interested in the market again because I hear a lot of "chatter" around the water cooler....about stocks again...be wary of the what is happening ....history repeats itself....again and again...I think we are the same animal we were back in the 30's when even back there we bought stocks at every "boom" time and got waxed when the market went down....if you look at the market and how it works....in the 70's, there was no major decline in the market once one of these Booms began because everyone slowly..... than more quickly got into the market as things turned better......only to find out that the market did not repay them for their investments.....I think nothing has changed since the 20-30's and the 70's.......History is repeating itself.....the market place will change dramatically when the next down turn takes place.....companies that you thought would never go under ......Will!

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