Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: elmatador who wrote (39833)	10/20/2003 10:33:27 AM
From: AC Flyer	Read Replies (1) of 74559

elmat: You're right about this. By 2100, global population will be less than it is now, with an average age world-wide approaching 60, I would say. Huge swaths of land will be largely abandoned. You can see this trend now in large parts of the rural USA. By 2100, the only objects moving in the US interior - besides animals - for hundreds of miles will be robotic agricultural machines. The two primary industries worldwide will be (1) healthcare, and (2) leisure. Folks will laugh at the old days when just 13% of GNP was devoted to healthcare, as opposed to the 50% in 2100. Agriculture will employ 0.1% of the world's population and manufacturing 1.0%. The funny thing about all of this is that it is not too difficult to forecast. Though I have estimated (sort of) these numbers, anyone with a linear regression utility on their PC can figure this junk out in 5 minutes.

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