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Strategies & Market Trends : Group Theories

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To: macavity who wrote (764)	10/22/2003 2:41:47 PM
From: macavity	Read Replies (1) of 1017

IT Outlook: US Bond Yields (Update). USZ3/YHZ3 trades upto 108-23 10 yr yields have turned down (just) but 5 years stay the same. I am convinced that I am the only person that is bullish bonds. I believe that Mr Greenspan cannot allow long-term yields to rise. The technical picture does not yet confirm this [crazy idea] as Quarterly charts are pointing up. For the BULL to be re-established we need to see yields trade below 4.525%, until then I have to assume that Bonds are in a Cyclical BULL at the very least. N.B. This is a view - my model does not see Bond Yields as bearish in the LTBH time frame. They are NEUTRAL/BULLISH above 4.525% -macavity

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