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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: Stock Farmer who wrote (54466)10/23/2003 6:26:28 PM
From: hueyone   of 54805
 
The problem is that by the time a company is recognizeable as a "Gorilla" that the Gorilla Gamer's aren't the only people on the planet who realize this, and the market price is bid up to neutralize potential gains. In fact, Gamers who are purchasing based on the game's criteria alone end up at risk of over-bidding the price.

I would guess that most people interested in the Gorilla game did indeed significantly overpay for companies on the list in recent years, but what is to say the market will not mark down Gorilla to attractive prices from time to time? I know you did a number of extensive valuations on Cisco on the Cisco thread over the years. I think one of your valuations a few years ago produced a $6 per share value. Cisco came within hailing distance of that price last fall at $8 per share. Armhy came down to a price that met Jurgis' fairly conservative valuation criteria as well.

Regards, Huey
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