1992 New Hampshire Primary results
Candidate Votes cast Percent
Paul E. Tsongas 55,666 33.2%
"Bill" Clinton 41,542 24.8%
"Bob" Kerrey 18,584 11.1%
"Tom" Harkin 17,063 10.2%
Edmund G. "Jerry" Brown, Jr. 13,660 8.0%
Mario Cuomo (write-in) 6,577
* Although Tsongas was expected to win (as Dean is now) the real winner here was the second place finisher who closed the huge gap in the polls which had shown him way behind and possibly on the rocks, due to the Gennifer Flowers scandal. Now, if Dean DOESN'T WIN by 20% it could be Kerry's night, or even Clark's, if either of them make strong showings. This state does not decide the nomination, but it's crucial for Dean to pummel everyone else. If he doesn't ---
Also remember that McCain closed a 33% gap and beat GW Bush in New Hampshire, but didn't win. The lesson is, anything could happen and could mean a lot, or not much at all. A lot depends on what the story is the next morning and beyond. Also consider that is possible that Edwards, Lieberman and Gephardt all end up dropping out and endorsing Kerry. That's why I see this as a three-way race which won't be decided until the convention. |
