Clark and Kerry are still tied nationally in a statistical dead heat with Dean and Lieberman. Assuming Lieberman drops out (he will sooner or later), that makes three.
It is not much of a secret that the DNC and CLinton camp along with party powers like Feinstein, Biden, Gore, Hart, Graham, Richardson, Ford, Kennedy, Rangel and the rest are out to stop Dean. And for good reason, because he's the weakest against Bush. The above want either Kerry or Clark.
Putting Kerry and Clark together negates Dean, especially outside the typical liberal areas. The party control of 37% of super delegates can also stop Dean. Lieberman, Gephardt and Edwards will eventually endorse whomever can stop Dean. Dean would therefore need to get over 40% of the total vote to get nominated and go into the convention within striking distance of the prize. Otherwise, they can gang up and nominate Kerry/Clark or Clark/Kerry. Either one beats Bush.
Dean has a possibiloity of gettign 40% in certain liberal states, but I don't see him coming anywhere close to that in more typical states. Therefore, the chances of him beating the entire party (basically) are next to nill. Of course that story is not in the press yet. Right now, you'd think dean has it wrapped up. And the GOP is pushing that story too, hoping that it's true. Meanwhile, they attack on Kerry and Clark. |
