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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: maceng2 who wrote (40168)10/27/2003 9:26:22 AM
From: GraceZ  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
Jobless claims refers to new claims. Doesn't it make sense that they increase and decrease by seemingly large amounts from week to week? Companies lay off in large groups, people who work for large companies are most apt to apply for insurance all at once and lose their benefits six months later all at once. Whereas the percentage of the workforce that gets unemployment insurance or is unemployed actually moves incrementally week to week (it's less than 1% of the population and around 2.4% of the work force). I think the reason the spin-meisters (both positive and negative) focus on the jobless claims is because it does look like a large number even though 4000 is a small number in comparison to the whole work force. The number of unemployed in this country is one of the most vigorously documented numbers that the government puts out.
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