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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (26672)10/28/2003 9:20:13 AM
From: Tomas   of 206102
 
How Will a Weakening U.S. Dollar Affect the Oil Markets?
Raymond James' Energy “Stat of the Week”, October 27

"When adjusted for the euro/dollar exchange rate, however, the price of oil to European consumers is down a whopping 39% since late 2000. This is the equivalent of European oil prices declining from $35.40/Bbl to $21.56/Bbl."

"A natural response for OPEC would be to make an upward adjustment to its dollar-denominated target price band. This band (which is based on a “basket” of OPEC crudes) has been set at $22-$28 in March 2000 and implies a WTI price of $24-$30. Since March 2000, the euro-adjusted value of the band has been effectively reduced by 18% due to the dollar’s exchange rate. To compensate for this currency effect, OPEC would have to set its new band at $26-$33 to make up for the lost buying power of the U.S. dollar. This would imply a revised WTI price band of $29-$36."

beacon1.rjf.com
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