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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: Lane3 who wrote (14921)11/3/2003 2:10:41 AM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) of 793818
 
Another point we didn't cover in that WP poll was the Female response. I think Sullivan is right on the reason. Security trumps other issues with the Ladies.
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BUSH'S POLL NUMBERS: The Washington Post's latest poll is striking for two things, it seems to me. First, what happened to the gender gap? On the basic approval question, the differences between men and women are within the margin of error. Ditto on the war on terror. That strikes me as a big deal. If the Dems have lost their big advantage with women, they're in trouble. (On the other hand, the gap re-appears when it comes to handling Iraq and the economy, with men still supportive and women now disapproving. But the gap is still much smaller than in the past.) This suggests to me that the war on terror has indeed reversed the usual gender gap on military matters - because women understand the threat at home.

The other remarkable thing to me is that Bush's strongest ratings come among the younger generation. Even on Iraq, the 18 - 30 year olds give him a big vote of support - more than any other age group and the reverse of the over 60s. Bush has a 66 percent general approval rating among the young, compared to 51 percent among the old. How to explain it? My theory is that we're witnessing the emergence of the 9/11 generation - a demographic cohort bigger than the boomers whose defining experience was the terrorist attack of two years ago. They are also immune to the Vietnam fixation of the boomer editors and reporters of the mainstream media. South Park Republicans? We may have a genuine phenomenon here. (One other note: Dick Gephardt does surprisingly well, in comparison with the other Dems in this poll. I'm buying Gephardt stock myself.)
andrewsullivan.com
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