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Strategies & Market Trends : Greater China Junior Stocks

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To: Julius Wong who started this subject11/10/2003 10:45:08 AM
From: Condor   of 1992
 
Bullish metal forecasts continue
Monday, November 10, 2003

METAL price forecasts continue to rise with
nickel leading the way, according to a survey
over the weekend.

Barclays Capital has lifted its average nickel price forecast
for 2004 by 25.5% to US$12,250 a tonne, while JP Morgan
is up 24% to US$12,455, and Macquarie Bank up 15% to
US$13,230.

According to a report in London's Financial Times newspaper,
the forecasts are based on a fresh assessment of the world
economy which appears to be recovering much faster than
previously expected with stainless steel demand, the
primary market for nickel, accelerating rapidly.

Macquarie maintains its argument that there is a danger of
a "major squeeze" of nickel supplies in 2004.

this gives Nickel a price of about $ 5.60+ a lb.in 2004. If correct then Inco (NYSE:N) and the Falconbridge (T:FL) will do well. There is room in those prices for good profits. One caveat for FL however, they enter contract talks with their employees in mid winter. I expect will go OK but one never knows for sure.

miningnews.net

cheers

C
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