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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: LindyBill who wrote (80128)11/12/2003 11:04:34 PM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
Hi Lindy Bill; Re: "Oh, I see. So when the dancing Iraqis meet us in the street with flowers, that is just a prelude to them starting Urban Warfare against us six months later. Boy, they are really sneaky, aren't they?"

You wrote this back on March 7, after I told you that six months is about the right delay between an occupation and the rise of the resistance.

In some ways the resistance began the moment we entered Iraq, but it's really getting hot over there now.

The reason for the six month delay is that's about how long it takes for the "shock and awe" of losing a war of maneuver to wear off. The losers in a war of attrition take a lot longer to recover, which is why we were able to pacify Germany and Japan.

-- Carl
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