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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: frankw1900 who wrote (119137)11/13/2003 2:57:44 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
<an alliance of Gulf States, Iraq, the US, and Shiites from the oil field area will take over the oil fields>

Your unstated assumptions:
1. The U.S. Army is a Universal Tool that can do anything, fix any problem.
2. The U.S. has the ability to win a guerrila war against a hostile Islamist-led population.

Children believe things will happen because they want it to happen. This is called Magical Thinking. It's what you're doing.

Here is the only way we can hold any Middle East oil field:
1. conquer it, using only our own soldiers.
2. expel the entire native population.
3. create a wide free-fire zone on all borders of our new colony.
4. keep all nuclear weapons permanently out of the hands of all muslim nations. If they get nukes, and we are occupying their homeland, they will use them against us, sooner or later, and keep using them until we leave.

The only one of these that is plausible is #1.

Ethnic cleansing has not been done by the U.S. government since we finished killing our Native Americans, we have become too civilized to do it any more, so #2 and #3 aren't an option.

We've already failed at #4. This alone makes the whole project un-feasible. Even taking seriously about occupying the Saudi oil fields, will prompt the Saudis to get nukes, as a deterrent.

You're a dreamer.
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