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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004

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To: Mephisto who wrote (6444)11/13/2003 7:30:32 PM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (3) of 10965
 
OREGONIAN: Why Dean can win next November

oregonlive.com

[Note: Dean got a great reception this week in Portland.]

11/09/03

DAVID REINHARD

Let us not be fooled by misguided conventional wisdom. [Howard] Dean is a threat and Republicans better not ignore him."

The latest press release from the "Dean for President" campaign? Fresh political insight from the lefties at The Nation magazine? Michael Moore or Al Franken's recent rantings?

No, this is the considered judgment of two respected Republican pollsters -- Bob Moore and Hans Kaiser -- from Portland's Moore Information. Their Oct. 6 memo should be a welcome read (www.moore-info.com) when Dean visits here Tuesday.

"Howard Dean can win because he believes in what he is saying, because he can semi-legitimately spin his record as governor into one of fiscal conservatism, and because he comes across as if he actually cares about people . . ." they wrote, continuing a bit later: "The difference between Howard Dean and the rest of the Democratic candidates is that Dean comes across as a true believer to the base but he will not appear threatening to folks in the middle."

Question: Have Moore and Kaiser spent too much time in Portland's espresso bars and organic-food co-ops?

I don't think so. Their memo may raise more questions than it answers, but when GOP pollsters of their caliber make a case like this, Republicans and Democrats -- and not just Democratic Deanies -- should take notice.

I've thought for a while that the former Vermont governor deserves the Democratic nomination. He's the exquisite embodiment of Democratic values today. He's opposed to "George Bush's war" and was before it became hip within the party. And he wants a total repeal of "George Bush's tax cuts." You'll see a pattern here, and it forms the overarching theme of today's Democratic partisans: barely contained anger toward President Bush and his works.

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