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Strategies & Market Trends : Group Theories

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To: macavity who wrote (799)11/15/2003 5:07:48 PM
From: macavity   of 1017
 
IT Outlook: $USD.


BEAR from BULL


Massive change in direction this week or two.

Price moved greatly but as it was a whip-lash, IT momentum has changed sign, but looks like it is divergent.

Pattern appears to be a broadening pattern around the $USD=91.

traders.com

share.esignal.com

All I will repeat is that it is a scary looking pattern but it is forming a significant low, as we have divergence in LT_TREND.
As I just follow the mo!, I have idea where this 'bottom will be.

We are now ST o/sold in what is a IT BEAR trend that is not too strong, due to whiplash.
I have no idea whether support at 91 will hold - the broadening nature suggests not.

I closed out my CHFShort/USDLong for a profit, but still hold half my EUR position, which is now at a loss.
I will cut this on Monday and put a USD-Buy stop above the market as we head down.

Short EUR Long USD.

Strategy:
Still looking to go long USD when this decline ends - could get nasty and volatile, or nastier and more volatile!


-macavity
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