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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004
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To: Eashoa' M'sheekha who wrote (6557)11/15/2003 8:07:12 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (2) of 10965
 
Dean is not going to be the president and probably not the nominee. Just have to do the math.

To get the nomination, Dean will have to get 50% plus one of the delegates. Since all five major candidates plus the DNC-DLC Super Delegates and most unions are against him, that's really a stretch. The only question is, who will be the non-Dean candidate left standing to get endorsed by everyone else. If they cannot settle it, expect Al Gore to be drafted.

Against Bush, Dean will have a very tough time convincing any conservative-moderate swing-voters. I'm talking aboujt those people who supported Bush when he was at 72% approvals, but are losing faith in him now.

The same attributes which make Dean appeal to the left-wing (about 20% of the country) will turn the swing-voters off. Dean will not cut into Bush's 2000 voter base at all.

Dean is also not any big attraction to minorities or women. Frankly, I don't even think the Dem party will support him 100%. They will put in an effort, but they won't be true believers. Too many of the Dem leaders just don't like Dean, and that includes the Clintons.

I see Dukakis II, and that would be very sad.

Therefore, I consider a vote for Dean to be a vote for Bush. Sorry.
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