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Biotech / Medical : Elan Corporation, plc (ELN)
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To: Qualified Opinion who wrote (5115)11/15/2003 8:13:26 PM
From: Cacaito  Read Replies (1) of 10345
 
Dec 03 Surprise! Complete AZ (halted trial) data should be ready, if it match the German subgroup results (30 subjects), the whole group was 300 plus, most received the vaccine, ratio was like 3 to 1). The full clinical data will (if it match the the subgroup results) prove that the vaccine is effective, only safety to be determined for the conjugate vaccine and/or the mab.

Elan could file Antegren for Crohn's in a rolling NDA, with the full maintnance trial ongoing and pending.

Elan could file Antegren for MS with the 1 year period in a rolling NDA, and the full two years period ongoing and pending.

IF Antegren for MS major hurdle is overcome, whether it does impact dissability scores favorably at 1 year (it did but not statistically significant at 6 month in the phase II), if it does then approval is certain earlier.

Biogen vs Wyeth, $12 to $15 for Elan, $18 should be fine, is paper money anyway !!!
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