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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 299.48-4.8%Dec 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: Return to Sender who wrote (12610)11/22/2003 4:15:07 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (1) of 95579
 
RtS, Based on your prodding, I went back to look at all the stocks on a weekly basis. Based on this review(as well as reviewing the weekly tabular data), it looked to me that the Group had a "change in character" since the early part of September. Therefore, it was relatively easy to pick the week ending on 5 September and compare it to this past Friday's close.

At the bottom line it shows the Group with only a 2 percent gain over this 11 week period. The SOX is up 9 percent while the NASDAQ is up 2 percent. Within the Group, however, there is a large spread from top to bottom. Leading the Group is MTSN with a 90 percent gain while in last place, PLAB resides with a 28 percent loss.

The performance of the four stocks included in the SOX, TER, NVLS, AMAT and KLAC, are at +18, +9, +8 and -5 percent respectively. Getting back to the stocks you like, MTSN and CMOS, over this period, MTSN is in 1st place with a 90 percent gain, and CMOS is in 6th place with a 19 percent gain. Are they going to continue this "red hot" performance, or is "rotation" going to continue in the Group over the next 11 week period to come up with a much different "sort". I would bet there will be considerable movement within the Group.

Anyway, no matter what happens in the future, here is what happened in the last 11 weeks. First a sort by percent change.


- 9/5/03 11/21/03 FST CALL NEXT FST CALL
- CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT NXT YR YEAR LNG TRM
SYMBOL PRICE PRICE CHANGE EARN PE GROWTH PEG
MTSN 7.15 13.60 90 0.22 62 20 3.09
VECO 22.00 28.65 30 0.60 48 18 2.73
EGLS 2.67 3.44 29 -1.00 22
KLIC 12.39 15.36 24 0.19 81 20 4.04
SMTL 9.11 11.10 22 0.68 16 15 1.09
CMOS 12.01 14.25 19 -0.34 18
TER* 20.11 23.79 18 0.49 49 17 2.86
FSII 4.95 5.82 18 0.39 15 20 0.75
PHTN 32.77 37.99 16 1.25 30 25 1.22
ASML 15.73 17.97 14 0.41 44 15 2.92
LRCX 26.00 29.49 13 1.01 29 20 1.46
ASYT 14.89 16.25 9 0.56 29 20 1.45
NVLS* 39.15 42.54 9 0.72 59 20 2.95
AMAT* 21.34 22.96 8 0.88 26 20 1.29
HELX 18.71 20.11 7 0.45 45 20 2.23
LTXX 15.24 15.50 2 0.47 33 16 2.02
UTEK 30.02 29.08 -3 0.75 39 30 1.29
KLAC* 57.83 55.05 -5 1.74 32 20 1.58
CYMI 46.29 43.64 -6 0.89 49 26 1.89
BRKS 26.90 23.51 -13 1.13 21 14 1.49
DPMI 26.46 22.79 -14 0.58 39 20 1.96
COHU 22.68 19.47 -14 0.58 34 7 4.80
ATMI 29.93 22.08 -26 0.41 54 20 2.69
WFR 13.27 9.55 -28 0.61 16 10 1.57
PLAB 25.67 18.40 -28 0.73 25 18 1.44
TOTALS 553.27 562.39 2 14.40
SOX-X 459.82 502.66 9
COMPQX1858.12 1893.88 2
* STOCKS INCLUDED IN SOX INDEX

And here is the sort by PEG


- 9/5/03 11/21/03 FST CALL NEXT FST CALL
- CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT NXT YR YEAR LNG TRM
SYMBOL PRICE PRICE CHANGE EARN PE GROWTH PEG
FSII 4.95 5.82 18 0.39 15 20 0.75
SMTL 9.11 11.10 22 0.68 16 15 1.09
PHTN 32.77 37.99 16 1.25 30 25 1.22
AMAT* 21.34 22.96 8 0.88 26 20 1.29
UTEK 30.02 29.08 -3 0.75 39 30 1.29
PLAB 25.67 18.40 -28 0.73 25 18 1.44
ASYT 14.89 16.25 9 0.56 29 20 1.45
LRCX 26.00 29.49 13 1.01 29 20 1.46
BRKS 26.90 23.51 -13 1.13 21 14 1.49
WFR 13.27 9.55 -28 0.61 16 10 1.57
KLAC* 57.83 55.05 -5 1.74 32 20 1.58
CYMI 46.29 43.64 -6 0.89 49 26 1.89
DPMI 26.46 22.79 -14 0.58 39 20 1.96
LTXX 15.24 15.50 2 0.47 33 16 2.02
HELX 18.71 20.11 7 0.45 45 20 2.23
ATMI 29.93 22.08 -26 0.41 54 20 2.69
VECO 22.00 28.65 30 0.60 48 18 2.73
TER* 20.11 23.79 18 0.49 49 17 2.86
ASML 15.73 17.97 14 0.41 44 15 2.92
NVLS* 39.15 42.54 9 0.72 59 20 2.95
MTSN 7.15 13.60 90 0.22 62 20 3.09
KLIC 12.39 15.36 24 0.19 81 20 4.04
COHU 22.68 19.47 -14 0.58 34 7 4.80
EGLS 2.67 3.44 29 -1.00 22
CMOS 12.01 14.25 19 -0.34 18
TOTALS 553.27 562.39 2 14.40
SOX-X 459.82 502.66 9
COMPQX1858.12 1893.88 2
* STOCKS INCLUDED IN SOX INDEX
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