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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 314.52-0.6%Dec 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (12613)11/22/2003 10:24:02 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (2) of 95573
 
Don, thanks so much for the tables. Now if you don not mind a little more prodding what I would like you to do is look over the monthly charts of the stocks in the group.

I have them posted starting here over several posts.

investorshub.com

Now what you are looking for is the stocks in the group which remain in strong uptrends where the monthly candlesticks are still rising.

If you take a ruler or a piece of paper at the bottom of the candlesticks you can see if the upward trend is at risk or still intact.

The first thing you will notice is that the SOX itself looks very good but like the SMH it has a doji. I put my comments in the first table you posted. Gottfried perhaps you too might want to check the monthly charts as we try to find the best potential performers from the bottom of this current dip? Sorry if the comments make the table harder to read.

- 9/5/03 11/21/03 FST CALL NEXT FST CALL
- CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT NXT YR YEAR LNG TRM
SYMBOL PRICE PRICE CHANGE EARN PE GROWTH PEG
MTSN 7.15 13.60 90 0.22 62 20 3.09
MTSN best breakout pattern in the bunch
VECO 22.00 28.65 30 0.60 48 18 2.73
VECO excellent but watch that upper Bollinger Band
EGLS 2.67 3.44 29 -1.00 22
EGLS good but has a doji
KLIC 12.39 15.36 24 0.19 81 20 4.04
KLIC excellent but watch the upper Bollinger Band plus debt
SMTL 9.11 11.10 22 0.68 16 15 1.09
SMTL excellent but this stock never goes all that high
CMOS 12.01 14.25 19 -0.34 18
CMOS good but having trouble with the 50 day ema
TER* 20.11 23.79 18 0.49 49 17 2.86
TER excellent
FSII 4.95 5.82 18 0.39 15 20 0.75
FSII fine but has red candle in upward channel
PHTN 32.77 37.99 16 1.25 30 25 1.22
PHTN good with a doji!
ASML 15.73 17.97 14 0.41 44 15 2.92
ASML good with a doji
LRCX 26.00 29.49 13 1.01 29 20 1.46
LRCX good with a doji
ASYT 14.89 16.25 9 0.56 29 20 1.45
ASYT red candle turned back from the upper Bollinger Band
NVLS* 39.15 42.54 9 0.72 59 20 2.95
NVLS chart is ok but the worst so far
AMAT* 21.34 22.96 8 0.88 26 20 1.29
AMAT red candle turned back from the upper Bollinger Band
HELX 18.71 20.11 7 0.45 45 20 2.23
HELX excellent
LTXX 15.24 15.50 2 0.47 33 16 2.02
LTXX is good!
UTEK 30.02 29.08 -3 0.75 39 30 1.29
UTEK good it has a red candle but is maintaining a breakout
KLAC* 57.83 55.05 -5 1.74 32 20 1.58
KLAC flagging but has failed to breakout
CYMI 46.29 43.64 -6 0.89 49 26 1.89
CYMI flagging but has failed to breakout like BRKS
BRKS 26.90 23.51 -13 1.13 21 14 1.49
BKRS flagging but has not been above 28.10 in 3 months
DPMI 26.46 22.79 -14 0.58 39 20 1.96
DPMI is flagging and has failed to breakout higher
COHU 22.68 19.47 -14 0.58 34 7 4.80
COHU is flagging has not yet broke down but weak
ATMI 29.93 22.08 -26 0.41 54 20 2.69
ATMI is rolling over
WFR 13.27 9.55 -28 0.61 16 10 1.57
WFR has rolled over but may be finding support
PLAB 25.67 18.40 -28 0.73 25 18 1.44
PLAB is rolling over
TOTALS 553.27 562.39 2 14.40
SOX-X 459.82 502.66 9
COMPQX1858.12 1893.88 2
* STOCKS INCLUDED IN SOX INDEX

And here is the sort by PEG

- 9/5/03 11/21/03 FST CALL NEXT FST CALL
- CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT NXT YR YEAR LNG TRM
SYMBOL PRICE PRICE CHANGE EARN PE GROWTH PEG
FSII 4.95 5.82 18 0.39 15 20 0.75
SMTL 9.11 11.10 22 0.68 16 15 1.09
PHTN 32.77 37.99 16 1.25 30 25 1.22
AMAT* 21.34 22.96 8 0.88 26 20 1.29
UTEK 30.02 29.08 -3 0.75 39 30 1.29
PLAB 25.67 18.40 -28 0.73 25 18 1.44
ASYT 14.89 16.25 9 0.56 29 20 1.45
LRCX 26.00 29.49 13 1.01 29 20 1.46
BRKS 26.90 23.51 -13 1.13 21 14 1.49
WFR 13.27 9.55 -28 0.61 16 10 1.57
KLAC* 57.83 55.05 -5 1.74 32 20 1.58
CYMI 46.29 43.64 -6 0.89 49 26 1.89
DPMI 26.46 22.79 -14 0.58 39 20 1.96
LTXX 15.24 15.50 2 0.47 33 16 2.02
HELX 18.71 20.11 7 0.45 45 20 2.23
ATMI 29.93 22.08 -26 0.41 54 20 2.69
VECO 22.00 28.65 30 0.60 48 18 2.73
TER* 20.11 23.79 18 0.49 49 17 2.86
ASML 15.73 17.97 14 0.41 44 15 2.92
NVLS* 39.15 42.54 9 0.72 59 20 2.95
MTSN 7.15 13.60 90 0.22 62 20 3.09
KLIC 12.39 15.36 24 0.19 81 20 4.04
COHU 22.68 19.47 -14 0.58 34 7 4.80
EGLS 2.67 3.44 29 -1.00 22
CMOS 12.01 14.25 19 -0.34 18
TOTALS 553.27 562.39 2 14.40
SOX-X 459.82 502.66 9
COMPQX1858.12 1893.88 2
* STOCKS INCLUDED IN SOX INDEX
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