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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: NOW who wrote (2551)11/23/2003 10:19:25 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
in 3-4 years, yes, but only after a USDollar crisis
as I have been saying for months now

the monetary mechanism is dismantled
higher rates will not be permitted to help the US$

the industrial mechanism is dismantled
absent mfg base will not allow greater exports to help the US$

a USDollar Vicious Circle is at work in ultra-slow motion
it will not end until an incredibly large world money crisis
and then, and only then, will extreme solutions be proposed

dont jump to conclusions on my words and expectorations
this will take time
but during the next two years, it is entirely likely that the Fed will accumulate gold for that convertibility purpose
BUT THEY WILL NOT TELL ANYONE
the market will figure it out
just like they figured out the CHinese are accumulating gold

three years ago the thought of a severe bear US$ market was inconceivable
three years ago the thought of a nascent gold bull was a joke
the thought of margin debt exceeding March 2000 was a bad joke
but we have all three and more
I try periodically to think back 3 years and ponder what was thought at the time
the market is full of surprises
but most importantly, I regard the internal dynamics behind the USDollar decline as having only begin, and to continue for years and years until the system almost breaks

the VonMises teachings are clear:
when no gold backing of currencies, a process begins with competing currency debasement until each economy is ruined, which brings about a monetary crisis
A CRISIS IS THE LOGICAL OUTCOME OF FLOATING CURRENCIES
sadly, economists do not study history or economics
they invent new bullshit economic theories to support their politics

when higher interest rates come next year, big effects will hit
and the USDollar will falter once more
as the USEconomy falters
absolutely no foundation for USEcon recovery is here and now

/ jim
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