Technology Stocks & Market Talk With Don Wolanchuk Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Technology Stocks & Market Talk With Don Wolanchuk

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Jan 16 4:00 PM EST

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To: Kirk © who wrote (11570)	11/24/2003 11:11:28 AM
From: Chip McVickar	Read Replies (1) of 207962

Kirk, This was an interesting post of yours in early Nov on VIX Message 19457649 >>"I wonder if any of the traditional indicators like VIX and Put/Call ratios will mean anything now?"<< Isn't the VIX or any internal measure of these markets... simply looking at Supply and Demand...? Demand for stocks is complex and hard to track, the solid final data only gets to the public well after the fact... in some cases weeks as in mutual fund flows. Combine this with hedging stratagies of hedge funds, mutual funds and other sophisticated private concerns and one can easily see why following public indicator like VIX or Put/Vall ratios would have very little value. Granville's CLX and Don's CLXpp - AYDIS are essentially unclouded studies of supply and demand... as is ARMS/Trin Index. Sentiment Studies, Insider Trading, money flows, VIX, TICK,..... etc, are all next to useless in determining or projecting the next market turn... interday or end of day.

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