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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: yard_man who wrote (2660)11/29/2003 10:40:08 AM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
David Tice's commentary in the new annual report is definitely worth a read. In terms of strategy he spends a lot of ammo buying puts. I don't like that, think it's expensive. I've come out better during this "tough period" of being short by writing naked calls, and just shorting outright. Not that many tulip bulbs have run away enough for it to have hurt severely, and a few here and there have broken down (KSS,GTRC). I think the short squeeze phase of the rally is largely over, at least I hope.

Tice has clearly benefited from the gold holdings though. The Prudent Bear fund is up 8% from the Sept. purchases I put through for some of my clients. I had lightened up considerably on PMs by the end of Sept, but would say the overweighting in black gold has made up for it, especially lately. Timing isn't easy.

prudentbear.com
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