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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Bilow who wrote (120657)11/29/2003 8:57:30 PM
From: h0db  Read Replies (3) of 281500
 
Thanks, Carl.

You seem to have a long-term perspective. I was thinking something more along the lines of the next five years or so. Taiwan seems on a course to assert it's de jure independence (it has had de facto independence for 50 years or so). There also seems to be a part of the US Govt. (DoD and other dens of Neocons) that would like to slow or prevent China's rise as a great power in East Asia--sort of a happy marriage of US muscular moralists and real-politik advocates who believe that China's rise can only come at the expense of the United States.

I find it curious that the US is the security guarantor of only two regions of the planet: the Western Hemisphere and East Asia (I few the current aggressive US role in the Middle/Near-east as an aberration that will soon end). The Western Hemisphere would seem to be our natural hegemonic sphere, while the US dominance of East Asia now seems a leftover of the destruction of China during the Qing Dynasty, collapse of the British Empire and the defeat of Japan in WWII. In other words, I think that we are on borrowed time in East Asia.

BTW, from talking to some geologist friends, it seems that Taiwan is moving toward the Asian mainland, so reunification is indeed inevitable. It will only take a few million years.
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