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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: h0db who wrote (120761)	11/30/2003 11:41:44 PM
From: Bilow	Read Replies (1) of 281500

Hi h0db; Re: "They have pretty planes; they will be unable to generate sorties. When they hit the 50% attrition rate, they will focus on force preservation. The recent DoD report to Congress on the Chinese military is quite revealing on this topic." The DoD is famous for exaggerating the combat capabilities of possible enemies. There's a simple reason for this. The stronger our enemies, the more money we need to spend on defense. A less partisan analysis of the air power situation between Taiwan and China is available from the private sector. Or better yet, grind through the numbers and decide for yourself. But here's what fas.org says about the relative strength: Taiwan's fighter force has increased by one-third over the past five years, with the bulk of the force now consisting of nearly 300 modern first-class aircraft. With deliveries to be completed in early 2000, Taiwan's air force will enjoy its greatest advantage relative to China in recent memory, though this advantage will erode over the next decade as Chinese modernization plans are eventually fullfilled. fas.org And here is some professional US military position (when they're not talking to their funding providers, LOL) is on the question: Rising Airpower: The People's Liberation Army Air Force in the Early 21st Century 2nd Lt Morgan J. O'Brien, III, Air & Space Power Chronicles, April 2003 ... Taiwan’s air force commander-in-chief General Li Tien-yuthe has an interesting opinion, "The Chinese air force claims it will catch up with the Taiwan air force by 2005. I don't think so. I don't think they will be able to achieve the goal by 2500 if we continue to progress" (Hsu 15 Aug).(4) ... airpower.maxwell.af.mil -- Carl

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