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Non-Tech : OAKLEY- NYSE:OO
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To: Dr. Jeff who wrote (936)8/12/1997 4:23:00 PM
From: Brian C. Lund   of 1383
 
Re:Bear Market

1. Bear markets don't start with a bang! They trend into them.
2. As long as the dollar is strong, and Asia and Europe are a mess
(as they are), you are not going to see a bear market.
Think about it. If you are a fund manager, institutional investor, foreign commercial investor, where are you going to put your
money. In Gold? In other currencies? In other markets? No you are going into the US market. As long as the world climate stays the same, we will NOT see a US bear market.
3. We have to have these normal shakeouts/corrections in the course of the bull market. It may continue, but it will not be a bear market.
4. All the major indicies hit highs in the last two weeks, you don't go into a bear market without some divergences in the index.
5. The advance declines lines are still close to their highs.

This may be a correction like we had last June, but this is not the start of bear market.

BCL
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