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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH

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To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (504008)12/5/2003 9:10:20 AM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Read Replies (1) of 769667
 
"...the nightmare scenario: Between them, China and Japan now hold more than $1 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds, the trader estimates. But with the declining dollar, the Asian giants have suffered severe losses on these portfolios. If they decided to hedge just 20 percent of their dollar exposure, they could drive the dollar down from this week's low of about $1.21 against the euro to $1.35, contends the trader, and other sellers would trigger a further weakening to $1.45 or so. Facing that sort of decline, the Fed would have to boost interest rates to protect the currency. And higher rates, in turn, would drive down the U.S. stock market.

washingtonpost.com
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