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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (42532)12/5/2003 10:10:58 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) of 74559
 
Good morning Maurice, It is Saturday, my music box speaker cones are vibrating in tune with energetic music from Cairo to Casablanca, my mood is warmed by the ice cold Starbucks Frappucino, and my day is brightened by anticipation of going to view a Stanley Main Street ocean-view rental apartment on sale, a quiet lunch at the beach kiosk, and eventually gathering with friends for dinner, after a nap under warm comforter and perhaps a swim in fairly cold water.

You are making my day better.

I read your post to me with great care, and with mounting excitement, as I realized I would have a few cyber ribs for snack on this already beautiful day.

<<I only comment because you make so very few language mistakes in your rants>>

… no, you commented because you wish to catch my response, pick at what you thought was an language error, shove me into cyber doghouse, making me appear as thick as a whale sandwich, and then wallop me into a SI steak and kidney pie ;0)

<<I think people like the word obverse. They like disparate too; it gives an air of intelligence and sophistication>>

… I could simply say, ‘yeah, you are right’, but that would be lazy of me and be of disservice to you.

So I instead say, gee, perhaps you are right, but it is also true that sometimes folks use such words because they precisely mean to use such words, without realizing, or are desensitized to the idea that simple choice of words is a thorny IQ or tortuous class issue.

Thus on a roll, I continue, hoping not to overload your processing buffer or challenge your self-consciousness :0)

I like the word obverse because I can use it to help me express what I wish to say, as <<In this instance>>, where I am specifically wanting to say <<<I really doubt that events will come to war in any sense of the word, though I am not obverse to see some war scare in the financial market indices, because crisis is a partner, volatility is a friend, and the lonely path is the right way.>>>

… and where I did not explicitly mean <<averse>>, which would be crude and obviously un-PC, I did implicitly mean <<averse>>, with delicacy.

Confused? You should not blame yourself; instead blame it on Saturday.

Ok, read my original paragraph, ten times, so that it gets burned into your ROM, and then empty out your graviton technology driven RAM processing buffer. Get set, go …

I figured, perhaps wrongly but as it may, that the relative majority of the BBR thread-participants, being aware, sense a particular “just is” way about the likelihood of war breaking out between China mainland and Taiwan (next to nil chance) and about Taiwan declaring formal independence (highly unlikely given the polls as it stands recently) and about events subsequent to that fateful declaration (Taiwan will definitely lose out, China may lose out, and US may chose to participate and also lose), especially after my careful explanation that Taiwan is in fact peacefully merging with China mainland even as we post back and forth, every minute of every 24 hours, marching bravely towards TeoTwawKi, and that the thus eventual but inevitable, but certainly not asymptotically unreachable “just is” flag-changing ceremony will take place as suddenly as the fall of the Berlin Wall.

The Taiwanese officialdom has one great big concern that I believe is a valid cause for their worry, the concern is dictating their current actions, and that is the US, may not be inclined to come to the aid of Taiwan in the event that Taiwan officialdom maneuvers to declare formal independence via any and all mechanism, because Taiwan, in the greater scheme of deluging planetary geopolitical currents and construct of worldwide financial vortex, is just a trickle, diminishing by the day, and then losing ground by the night.

By and by, Taiwan is becoming an after-thought, and eventually, not even that.

Think about the issue in this way: would Taiwan’s possession of nuclear weapons be able to keep Taiwan from being of one with the China mainland? My answer is, no, because it just will be, inevitable. So, by extension, why does it matter that the US has 6,000 nukes and China mainland has 200 artificial suns? The inevitable is still inevitable, only, strangely, more so.

My advice to the Taiwan officialdom is that should they wish to tempt fate and declare formal independence, they should do so now, rather than later, and let the chips fall where they may, for time is working against them.

My advice to the Taiwan folks, in the event that formal independence is close to being declared for them, is that they should get their wealth and if possible, body corporate, out of likely harms way.

My advice to speculators, the global electorates that matter, in the case that Taiwan is close to declaring formal independence, is, paradoxically, to buy Taiwan, Hong Kong and China shares, and in the case that Taiwan actually declares formal independence, is, bizarrely, to buy more. My reasoning is simple, (a) in one eventual possible outcome, money becomes meaningless, and (b) in another, stocks will rise. This advice is given in the context that we <<Keep 3-6% of net asset value in physical precious metals, always>> per achamchen.com .

But I digress, only a little.

Back to obverse. I also wish to take what I guessed to be a position that I felt is not <<the more conspicuous of two possible alternatives>> per dictionary.reference.com on the BBR thread, and in fact wish to see war scare in the financial market indices, and I am taking the position, as in not the other position, that I am implicitly not averse to seeing some war scare in the financial market indices, because crisis is a partner, volatility is a friend, and the lonely path is the right way.

Now, in case you misunderstand yet again, as in once more, my position is at quite a distance from ‘I wish to see war’s effect on the financial indices’, which is un-PC, and uncivilized, and most important of all, not what I meant to say, explicitly or implicitly.

I am glad we clear that up ;0)

Language, it is such a simple art, which by its very nature can be so full of complicated nuances, especially if we decide to keep innovating and keep it vibrant.

You are excused for your error in interpretation of what I thought to be a fairly simple and self-evident position, for it is Saturday, and perhaps this also explains your obvious obverse and/or reverse or simply upside down but viewed in the mirror position (you decide which is ord you wish to use) regarding Aztec metal on this BBR thread, because it is the 21st century ;0)

<<What a find! No - I do not purport to have any skill at English so don't bother pointing out my mistakes, which I know there are screeds of.>>

… I would never point out any of your English mistakes or your skill level, because there are screeds of them, but I will point out any error you make in interpreting my messages cross your screen, you know, interpreting <<obverse>> to be simply a mistake as opposed to an application of art to language. You must be an engineer, and must also play <<chess>> only two moves deep at a time ;0)

You can do better, as I note below.

<<I think all English teachers should be drowned at birth - they caused me misery at school and were going to fail me because I just didn't get it.>>

… I think language should be used to convey a message, invoke (and I do mean ‘invoke’) an emotion in the reader, and paint a picture, even as the message sings to the onlooker. Like so,

<<Uncle Al KBE, the elastoquidynamic economic engineer is keeping the neutron-absorbing rods positioned just so to avoid an untoward China syndrome.

It's running hot and the power output is fantastic. There is rapidly increasing power output as more and more fuel is added to the process. It's as though uranium is attracted magnetically to the reactor core and eventually all uranium on Earth will be sucked in.

One vast cyberspace elastoquidynamic furnace, powering the planet and stuff launched into space.

6 billion power units, all churning away.>>


… is pure poetry, so beautiful, leading the reader to see a crimson collage of the aggregation of mismatched power units plugged into the same skynet, all reaching hypercritical spontaneous chain reaction stage, going kaboom, first singly, then in small clumps, and eventually, perhaps, as before, in a cataclysmic shock and awe-inspiring entropic event that will clear the markets once and for all times.

Now, if I try to pick at the many supposed English or logic errors in your poem, I can do so without really trying, but I prefer to simply go with the flow, appreciate the picture, enjoy the sounds, and reflect on the meaning real or imagined.

<<PS: Meanwhile, back in the jungle, the dollar is NOT doing very well against the Aztecs or the Cyberspacoids.
Q499 G406

… Note that the Aztecs are running well behind. They see the writing on the cyberspace wall.>>


… Yes, noted. I also note that the correct comparison should of course be QCOM vs NEM, or be the realizable price of QCOM-embedded chipsets vs same for physical gold, and not be Q10 vs 1xG.

I will not quibble about your logic error, and I will simply appreciate the comparison for what you actually meant, because the eventual end result will be no different in either case.

<<Our Kiwi$ has doubled in value against the US$. "Made in China" is priced in US$ for the international market, so we are really going to buy stuff>>

… that makes the famous Walmart USD 29.95 DVD player really and truly affordable :0)

Chugs, Jay
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