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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (121701)	12/16/2003 8:25:51 PM
From: Noel de Leon	Read Replies (2) of 281500

"Yeah, yeah, yeah... They've been saying this for decades.. I remember a similar argument when I was in grade school back in the '70s." Pity you didn't understand then that the 1956 prediction that US oil production would peak in the 70's in fact occurred in 1970. But then again you were in grade school. Thanks to the superb US education system little things like that event don't get presented to others than those few that study oil and its effect on social, political, and economic systems. I heard of the prediction in the late 50's but scoffed at it as you do, being, at the time, a believer in the ability of technology to solve all problems. The same techniques used to predict the peak in US oil production, refined, are the basis for the present predictions about world oil production. Having read the book and seen other reports that predict similar time scales I find the prediction to be credible. I hope you took the time to read Chapter 1 and that it piqued your curiosity.

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