Lizzie on women voters:
if even 2% of single women vote Bush I will be shocked, I don't think Bush can get many women under 50 actually, women are just another "special interest" who didn't contribute enough to BushCo's reelection campaign.
Message 19608564
Response:
Message 19609861
Excerpt:
[From ABC poll pre-Saddam capture]: "Bush's overall [approval] rating is 11 points higher among men than women, 62-51 percent. The gap is also 11 points on Iraq and 13 points on the economy. [see bottom of page 3 of pdf file]...... While 57 percent of men say the war was worth fighting, women split, 48-47 percent. [see top of page 4 of pdf file]"
If Bush's overall approval rating among women is 51 percent and his support among single women is only 2 percent (as you claim), I guess you are saying that virtually every married woman in the U.S. supports Bush. But, of course, that is preposterous: married women split fairly evenly between Bush and Gore in 2000, and I doubt that tens of millions of them have suddenly become Republicans. In fact, I know a couple who are actually Democrats, so it must be true that others are too. <g>
Excerpt 2:
Bush's overall approval rating was 57 percent. Interestingly, this is near the lowest of his Presidency.... and yet a significantly higher "low point" than most other recent Presidents have experienced. According to ABC, Bush's "current rating, 57 percent, matches the career averages of Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan. Even Bush's low -- 53 percent [in Oct. 2003] -- is high compared with the previous four Presidents. Clinton's low was 43 percent approval, Reagan's 42 percent. Bush's father bottomed out at 33 percent and Jimmy Carter reached 28 percent."(That quote is on page 3 of the linked pdf file above).
Where you are getting your often-stated conclusion that Bush is hugely unpopular and nearly certain to lose is pretty baffling to me in the face of those sorts of numbers. Bush is, according to ABC's scientifically conducted polls, more popular on average than any President we have had in the past quarter century. His current ratings are just about as low as they have gotten, and are equal to the average ratings of both two term Presidents of that era (Clinton and Reagan). The two incumbents who were defeated, Bush Sr. and Carter, had dramatically lower approval ratings than this President. I am just mystified as to how that leads to the conclusion that Bush is going to lose. |
