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Non-Tech : Wal-Mart
WMT 102.49-0.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: Jack L. Dlugach who wrote (241)8/13/1997 11:05:00 AM
From: Ken Turetzky   of 1166
 
MORGAN STANLEY DEAN WITTER NEW YORK MORNING MEETING PREVIEW 08/13/97

Preview for Wednesday, 8/13/97:

Wal-Mart (WMT) ($37): OUTPERFORM
Bruce M. Missett (212) 761-6660
- Robust 2Q results support our Outperform rating and $43 price
target on WMT, in our opinion. Wal-Mart reported a 13% earnings gain,
demonstrating the benefit of solid consumer demand and improved asset
management. We believe the momentum exhibited in this quarter is
likely to continue into the second half of the year, adding support to
our rating and price target.
- Our price target assumes WMT shares can sustain their current
multiple of 22-23 times 12-month forward earnings. At $43, the shares
would be trading at about 25 times our new 1998 EPS estimate of $1.74,
a 30% premium to the market and 1.9 times our five-year growth-rate
projection of 13%.
- We continue to believe that WMT is awarded a premium to the
market and its growth rate due to several factors, including what we
see as its unassailable position in the discount-store sector, the
increasing benefits of balance sheet and financial management (with
inventory reduction at the top of the list), and a reestablishment of
consistent quarterly performance.
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