SARS and Avian Flu Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu

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To: maceng2 who wrote (1166)	1/8/2004 7:35:45 AM
From: maceng2	Read Replies (1) of 4232

Cant find the original article discussed in the New Scientist aka 1981 but I found a reference to it here.. See question number 7 The spread of rabies in Europe and the fox population.(Nature 289 (1981) 765) maths.unsw.edu.au Although this is a completely different problem there are similar considerations wrt SARS. e.g rats. Culling large sections of an animal population could actually make the problem worse. The remaining animals range and breeding habits will change. The spread vector can actually be increased. We now have much more fancy computers then we did in 1981. The SARS problem could be modelled to a good approximation imho. I think lots of the individual factors have now been identified. /edit. In short. An alternative approach to "eradication" of the virus by culling animal populations could possibly be a more fruitful method of solution.

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