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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 297.50-2.6%Nov 6 4:00 PM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (12976)1/10/2004 11:56:23 AM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (1) of 95383
 
OT: If you only knew how hard it is for me to be bearish you would understand why I laugh.

I noticed KLIC closed up. I hope you make a mint on it.

Anyway, I think it is really important that we all try to post as many of our trades as possible on the Full Disclosure thread. I hope we can get more people involved.

I have learned so much throughout the last couple of years from watching others trade. The process of discussing trades on that thread is invaluable.

Just as the process of discussing Don's tables, your charts, fundamental analysis, technical analysis and indicator analysis here is as well.

We won't ever all be in complete agreement but I can tell you that I understand Bob's enthusiasm. Just as I understand the more guarded optimism of so many others here.

I have a great deal of faith in the system I have been developing but I don't expect it to be right all the time.

Over on Les's thread the Banks changed to a down phase. Unless they quickly reverse back higher the Dow and SPX will continue on with a downward bias.

The SOX continues to be in an up phase despite the substantial market U-Turn on Friday. Could be a few more good days for the Bulls ahead but the SOX is topping IMHO.

The put to call ratio did not even manage to rise on Friday despite the rise in the VIX/VXO. This is hugely important because it could be pointing out the potential here for more than just a short-term top.

Take it all for what it is worth. Maybe nothing...

Thanks for the charts.

RtS
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