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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004
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To: sylvester80 who wrote (8986)1/15/2004 11:48:27 AM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (2) of 10965
 
If you think Dean is strong you're deluded. In Iowa alone, Dean has fallen from 33% (post Gore endorsement) to 20%. That's almost a total collapse. Meanwhile Kerry and Edwards are not only back in the race but may win Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, though Clark will have something to say about the latter two.

By the time Iowa is over and we get to New Hampshire, expect dean's once commanding 45% to be down around 30%, or even less. I predict a three-way very close race in New Hampshire. Kerry may in fact win it by tacking on 20% after Iowa and narrowing beating Dean. Clark has already taken much of the outsider vote from Dean in New Hamshire.

Furthermore, remember that most undecideds are unlikely to back Dean, especially a sliding Dean. DEan has some bedrock anti-war and gay support but he is losing unions, minorities and has virtually no moderates at all backing him. Dean is no saint, no hero, no winner and right now looks more like a whiner. Bottomline, Dems need someone who can beat Bush. Kerry's comeback plus Clark and Edwards give them hope. DEan gave them little or no hope when he was being proclaimed the imminent nominee. The press will now stop calling Dean the frontrunner, instead the former frontrunner. As Kerry found out last year that is poison.
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