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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: russwinter who wrote (5360)1/17/2004 1:51:22 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
I'm still a little unclear on why going long rate futures is the way to play it? Wouldn't just a straight short of everything be better?

Because the ED play is safer.
Shorts continue to be blown out of the water here.
We will start to see a slowdown in economic activity and the next damn thing they might do is CUT again to "fix" it (and stimulate jobs growth - In Asia of course) Seriously. WTF knows what the market would do with that?

In the meantime Euroland is struggling with a high euro and poor growth. I think they do CUT and IF they do, I get 300% return on calls. That is plenty good enough and far better than trying to time this equity trainwreck we both know is coming.

BTW. We are totally fucked here no matter what. The train will keep running until ALL fuel is used up. Will it plow into the side of a mountain or will it just run out of gas and die? Whichever it is, it will not be pretty but the final attempt to FIX it can easily be the one and only thing Uncle Al knows how to do. Throw more money at the problem. Gold should soar.

Mish
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