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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH

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To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (525714)1/17/2004 9:59:27 PM
From: Hope Praytochange  Read Replies (1) of 769667
 
Call it the energizer bunny. Call it a Teflon market (nothing
sticks to it). Call it a runaway train. Whatever adjective best
suits your market bias it's hard to ignore that the path of least
resistance is still up. The Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P
500 have turned in eight consecutive weeks of gains. That's
quite a feat. I thought I heard one TV commentator say the
markets have not done that in more than 10 years. Investors seem
anything but cautious and the plummeting volatility indices
continue to reinforce a lack of fear. Normally when everyone is
running the same direction it is a sign to start looking for the
exits but until the trend changes all we can do is play what the
market gives us.

Driving these exceptional moves are strong corporate earnings and
encouraging economic data. Friday revealed that consumers were
very confident. The Michigan sentiment index soared to a
surprising 103.2 in January when estimates were only pointing to
a small rise to 94.0. The last reading was 92.6 in December
making this the biggest jump since November 1992. So what's
making the consumer feel so secure? A stock market with its
first gain in three years doesn't hurt. Nor does rising home
prices and low mortgage rates (which dropped again last week).
Signs, albeit slow ones, that the job market is improving is
probably the biggest reason that consumers are feeling upbeat.
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