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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (5344)1/18/2004 1:00:53 AM
From: Siddhartha Gautama  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
the trends and macro picture identified by the writer appear reasonable. but the numerical values he uses appear out of whack.

1. US$30 to produce (in China) and US$400 or US$500 sale price (in USA) for Reebok? Isn't it more like $3 and $40/$50 ?
2. 40% of 600 trillion dollars = 240 trillion is USA's debt burden? doesn't quite square with the 7 trillion treasury debt( publicdebt.treas.gov, 6.4 trillion MZM (http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/WMZMNS/), 17 trillion US bond market cap (http://pluto.mscc.huji.ac.il/~mswiener/teaching/FIEMBAF02/WorldBondMarket.pdf), etc.

so, what really will be the price of a 10 cents match box when the global financial system reaches equilibrium?
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